Ask any broker-owner whether retention or recruiting matters more, and the answer is nearly unanimous. In the new Lone Wolf x Inman 2026 Broker/Owner Survey, 74% of brokers rated retention as more valuable than recruiting. Then ask what they’re actually building their growth strategy around. Only 2% name retention as their #1 priority.
That 72-point gap is the story of the entire report.
Brokers know. They just aren’t set up to act on it.
The survey found that 65% of brokers say they assess flight risk in some way, but the top three methods they rely on are all informal: gut instinct (79%), regular check-ins (72%), and watching production trends (66%). Structured, data-driven approaches barely register. Only 24% use any kind of analytics tool for this, and just 6% run formal satisfaction surveys.
The result is a confidence problem. Only 15% of brokers say they’re “very confident” they’d catch an at-risk agent before that agent gives notice. The largest group, 38%, land at only “somewhat confident.” And 44% of brokers keep no formal tracking list at all, which means even the signals a broker does notice have nowhere consistent to live.
Why this keeps happening
Manual tracking works fine for a handful of agents. It breaks down for a full roster. When retention data lives in one broker’s head instead of a system the whole team can see, the signal is only as strong as that person’s bandwidth in any given week. Distraction, growth, or a vacation, and the signal disappears.
By the time an agent asks for their license file, it’s already too late. As one broker-owner in the study put it, agents go quiet, skip office events, and pull back long before they say anything out loud. The relational signs show up first. The behavioral ones show up last, right before the resignation.
Where the opportunity sits
Here’s the part that should change how brokers think about this: 66% believe AI could help identify a flight risk before it happens. Only 19% are actually using it that way today, the lowest AI adoption rate of any function brokers were asked about, well behind marketing (51%) and market analysis (52%).
The tools brokers already trust for the rest of the business haven’t caught up to the one thing they say matters most. The brokers who close that gap first, moving from gut instinct to something closer to a system, are already seeing the payoff in how confidently they can answer one simple question: who’s actually at risk right now?

